Book summary by Ms. Archita Joshi, Research Analyst, PIC SI Lab
Krishnamurthy Subramanian’s India @100: Envisioning Tomorrow’s Economic Powerhouse presents a compelling roadmap for India’s transformation into a global economic giant by 2047. An optimistic exploration of India’s potential to become a global economic superpower by its centennial, the book argues that India stands at a unique historical juncture, poised to capitalise on its demographic dividend and leverage its rich cultural heritage to achieve unprecedented economic growth.
Krishnamurthy Venkata Subramanian is an Indian economist who served as the 17th Chief Economic Adviser to the Government of India. An authority on economic policy, banking, and corporate governance, he was the youngest person to hold the position, serving from 2018 to 2021. As of November 1, 2022, he has been appointed India’s Executive Director at the International Monetary Fund (IMF).
Subramanian outlines a four-pillar strategy to achieve India’s ambitious goal:
1. Macroeconomic Emphasis on Growth: The author emphasises the importance of maintaining a stable macroeconomic environment to foster sustainable growth. He advocates for prudent fiscal and monetary policies, along with measures to attract foreign investment and boost exports. He highlights the need for structural reforms to improve India’s business climate and enhance its competitiveness globally.
2. Microeconomic Focus on Social and Economic Inclusion: Recognising the critical role of inclusive growth in ensuring long-term prosperity, Mr. Subramanian calls for policies that address the needs of the marginalised sections of society. He underscores the need to address India’s deep-rooted social and economic inequalities and investing in education, healthcare, and infrastructure development to create opportunities for all.
3. Ethical Wealth Creation: The author argues that India’s economic growth should be driven by ethical principles and sustainable practices. He emphasises the need to balance economic development with environmental protection and social responsibility. Also, responsible corporate governance, sustainability, and social impact are essential for long-term economic prosperity. He calls for a shift towards a more circular economy and adoption of renewable energy sources.
4. Strategy of a Virtuous Cycle Triggered by Investment: The book highlights the crucial role of investment in driving economic growth. Subramanian argues for a virtuous cycle where increased investment leads to higher productivity, which in turn attracts more investment. He emphasises the need to create a favourable environment for private investment and to promote public-private partnerships.
This book offers a blueprint for India’s future. By focusing on macroeconomic stability, social inclusion, ethical wealth creation, and investment, India can realise its full potential and emerge as a global economic powerhouse.
Subramanian’s analysis is grounded in empirical evidence and supported by case studies of successful economic transformations. He draws insights from the experiences of other countries, such as China and South Korea, to identify best practices and potential pitfalls.
The book emphasises the importance of harnessing India’s young population to drive economic growth. This requires investing in education and skills development to equip youths to contribute to a knowledge-based economy. The government must create sufficient job opportunities to absorb the growing workforce and prevent social unrest.
Subramanian highlights the need for India to embrace technological advancements and foster innovation, advocating for investment in R&D, promoting digitalisation, and creating a favourable environment for startups and entrepreneurs. The government can support innovation by providing funding, infrastructure, and regulatory support.
Also, the book highlights the importance of strengthening India’s global partnerships to enhance economic integration and market access through negotiating favourable trade agreements, attracting foreign investment, and promoting cultural exchange.
Subramanian acknowledges the challenges posed by governance issues and corruption in India, calling for reforms to improve transparency, accountability, and the rule of law. This requires strengthening institutions such as the judiciary and law enforcement.
The importance of sustainable development in India’s economic growth is also highlighted. This involves balancing economic growth with environmental protection and social responsibility. India can promote sustainable development by investing in renewable energy, promoting energy efficiency, and adopting sustainable agricultural practices.
Subramanian’s approach to economic development emphasises on ethical considerations. He argues that economic growth must be aligned with social progress and environmental sustainability, amidst increasing concern about the negative impacts of economic globalisation and inequality.
Subramanian also delves into the cultural and social dimensions of India’s development. He says India’s rich cultural heritage and social diversity are assets that can contribute to its economic success. India can create a more cohesive and harmonious society by promoting inclusivity and tolerance.
Furthermore, he recognises the importance of social and environmental factors in shaping India’s economic development. Subramanian argues that India can leverage its technological capabilities to create new industries, improve productivity, and enhance global competitiveness. He calls for investments in research and development, digital infrastructure, and human capital to position India as a leader in the future technology-driven economy.
India @100 also offers insights into India’s geopolitical landscape, discussing discusses the opportunities and challenges presented by India’s rising global influence.
In conclusion, the book provides a comprehensive vision for India’s economic future.